PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

chengyao

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$5.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate52.6%325 settled · past 180 days0 open · 17 hours ago
Lifetime volume$997.9K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded461Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−26.5% / $95% interval −127.2% to +74.2%26 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−26.5%n=26 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 52.6% · Decided 325 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded17 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$83.3K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
165
Showing the largest 8 of 165
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winner
Hanwha Life Esports · YesValue$0PnL−$2.2KAvg69.9¢Current0¢3,162.88Shares
Spurs vs. Thunder
SpursValue$0PnL−$119Avg27¢Current0¢439.56Shares
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
JD Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$1.5KAvg49¢Current0¢3,000Shares
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner
Hanwha Life Esports · NoValue$0PnL−$1.6KAvg53¢Current0¢2,999.99Shares
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
Dplus KIA · YesValue$0PnL−$1KAvg52¢Current0¢1,999.97Shares
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner
BNK FEARXValue$0PnL−$600Avg40¢Current0¢1,500Shares
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Weibo Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$20Avg2¢Current0¢1,000Shares
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
Dplus KIA · YesValue$0PnL−$920Avg23¢Current0¢4,000Shares
Showing 8 of 165 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet chengyao: 52.6% win rate over 325 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −26.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −127.2%, n=26 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−26.5% over 26 fills); −$5.5K lifetime P&L, $997.9K traded, updated 2026-09-23.