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Trader profile

RepublicOfChina

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$4.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate54.3%256 settled · past 180 days73 open · 27% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$613.6K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded910Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 54.3% · Decided 256 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$8.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$14K
Concentration
19.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
276
Showing the largest 8 of 276
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
NoValue$1.7KPnL+$472Avg66.3¢Current92.5¢1,802.37Shares
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?
NoValue$1.5KPnL−$137Avg87.3¢Current80.1¢1,888.76Shares
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.5KPnL+$345Avg70.2¢Current92¢1,579.85Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$739PnL+$52Avg60¢Current64.5¢1,145.14Shares
Will Chen Pin-an win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?
NoValue$434PnL+$90Avg74.9¢Current94.5¢459.3Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$171PnL+$26Avg78.4¢Current92.5¢184.92Shares
Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?
NoValue$152PnL+$5Avg56.9¢Current59¢257.39Shares
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$145PnL+$29Avg49.3¢Current61.5¢235.84Shares
Showing 8 of 276 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet RepublicOfChina: 54.3% win rate over 256 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$4.3K lifetime P&L, $613.6K traded, updated 2026-09-22.