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Trader profile

SteveTheFish

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$23.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate65.4%81 settled · past 180 days13 open · 67% underwater · 9 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded89Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−23.7% / $95% interval −143.4% to +96.0%20 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−23.7%n=20 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 65.4% · Decided 81 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded9 hours ago
Current position value
$2.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$195
Concentration
53.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
13
Showing the largest 8 of 13
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YesValue$1.3KPnL−$77Avg6.9¢Current6.5¢20,256.78Shares
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
NoValue$280PnL+$3Avg98.8¢Current100¢280Shares
Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
NoValue$280PnL+$3Avg98.8¢Current100¢280Shares
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
YesValue$182PnL+$88Avg0.6¢Current1.2¢15,803.97Shares
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YesValue$139PnL+$71Avg10¢Current20.5¢677.85Shares
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YesValue$72PnL−$15Avg0.5¢Current0.4¢18,047.11Shares
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YesValue$71PnL+$2Avg14.6¢Current15¢470.43Shares
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
YesValue$33PnL−$291Avg5¢Current0.5¢6,522.66Shares
Showing 8 of 13 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet SteveTheFish: 65.4% win rate over 81 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −23.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −143.4%, n=20 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−23.7% over 20 fills); +$23.3K lifetime P&L, $1.8M traded, updated 2026-09-23.