PolyTrace
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Trader profile

mindeirs

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$74.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate55.2%87 settled · past 180 days2 open · 100% underwater · 4 days ago
Lifetime volume$5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded81Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−36.9% / $95% interval −233.5% to +159.8%23 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−40.3%n=20 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 55.2% · Decided 87 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$806
Snapshot cash PnL
−$100.9K
Concentration
80.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
15
Showing the largest 8 of 15
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$650PnL−$1.4KAvg20¢Current6.5¢10,000Shares
YesValue$156PnL−$610Avg27¢Current5.5¢2,838.66Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$35.3KAvg3.5¢Current1,003,170.56Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$169Avg0.3¢Current50,000Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$2.3KAvg4.1¢Current54,331.42Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$1.1KAvg2.8¢Current40,163.3Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$20Avg0.2¢Current10,000Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$28.6KAvg10¢Current285,618.73Shares
Showing 8 of 15 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet mindeirs: 55.2% win rate over 87 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −36.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −233.5%, n=23 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−40.3% over 20 fills); −$74.8K lifetime P&L, $5M traded, updated 2026-09-19.