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Trader profile

TheOneto3

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$51.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate38.5%174 settled · past 90 days0 open · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$15M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded429Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−35.6% / $95% interval −219.6% to +148.4%81 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−35.6%n=81 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 38.5% · Decided 174 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$106.8K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
19
Showing the largest 8 of 19
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Tomas Barrios · NoValue$0PnL−$1.8KAvg36¢Current5,095.49Shares
Wyoming · YesValue$0PnL−$370Avg49¢Current755.32Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$12.1KAvg46.6¢Current25,921.69Shares
Luciano Darderi · NoValue$0PnL−$6.8KAvg64¢Current10,572.05Shares
Marcos Giron · YesValue$0PnL−$4.2KAvg85¢Current4,999.95Shares
Texas A&M · YesValue$0PnL−$166Avg45¢Current368Shares
Veronika Erjavec · NoValue$0PnL−$944Avg39¢Current2,420Shares
Koki Matsuda · YesValue$0PnL−$478Avg61¢Current784.23Shares
Showing 8 of 19 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet TheOneto3: 38.5% win rate over 174 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −35.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −219.6%, n=81 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−35.6% over 81 fills); −$51.2K lifetime P&L, $15M traded, updated 2026-09-24.