PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

asterley

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$958Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet135 open · 48% underwater · 5 days ago
Lifetime volume$496.4K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded957Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 days ago
Current position value
$9.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$5.4K
Concentration
29.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
402
Showing the largest 8 of 402
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$2.8KPnL+$322Avg84.5¢Current95.5¢2,932.67Shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.1KPnL+$146Avg74.5¢Current85.5¢1,330.3Shares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$815PnL+$198Avg52.2¢Current69¢1,180.7Shares
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$596PnL+$3Avg48.3¢Current48.5¢1,229.74Shares
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?
NoValue$521PnL−$45Avg47.3¢Current43.5¢1,197.64Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$192PnL+$95Avg28.7¢Current56.8¢338.23Shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
YesValue$189PnL+$36Avg48.3¢Current59.5¢318.05Shares
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?
YesValue$138PnL−$109Avg51¢Current28.5¢485.68Shares
Showing 8 of 402 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet asterley: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$958 lifetime P&L, $496.4K traded, updated 2026-09-19.