PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Pump

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$47.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate31.4%185 settled · past 180 days6 open · 6% underwater · 10 hours ago
Lifetime volume$6.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded544Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−38.9% / $95% interval −384.2% to +306.3%74 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+4.6%n=11 settled
Crypto
−61.1%n=46 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 31.4% · Decided 185 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$7.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$743
Concentration
57.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
7
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
NoValue$4.2KPnL+$324Avg42.5¢Current46.1¢9,100Shares
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
YesValue$1KPnL−$8Avg41.3¢Current41¢2,495.17Shares
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$1KPnL+$77Avg4¢Current4.3¢23,639.75Shares
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?
YesValue$551PnL+$347Avg4.6¢Current12.4¢4,447.31Shares
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in September?
YesValue$478PnL+$80Avg50.8¢Current61¢783.17Shares
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?
YesValue$17PnL−$44Avg6.1¢Current1.7¢990.08Shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17?
NoValue$0PnL−$32Avg1¢Current0¢3,219.73Shares
All 7 positions shown
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Pump: 31.4% win rate over 185 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −38.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −384.2%, n=74 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+4.6% over 11 fills); +$47.3K lifetime P&L, $6.1M traded, updated 2026-09-23.