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Trader profile

norrisfan

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$225KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate35.7%401 settled · past 90 days28 open · 49% underwater · 11 hours ago
Lifetime volume$47.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded188Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+0.7% / $95% interval −25.5% to +27.0%522 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+0.9%n=521 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 35.7% · Decided 401 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded11 hours ago
Current position value
$323.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$2.6K
Concentration
54.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
28
Showing the largest 8 of 28
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$177.5KPnL+$42KAvg50¢Current65.5¢271,000Shares
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$93.5KPnL−$42KAvg50¢Current34.5¢271,000Shares
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
NoValue$15.8KPnL+$83Avg95¢Current95.5¢16,520.36Shares
Will India win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?
NoValue$13.2KPnL+$2.3KAvg72¢Current87.5¢15,046.59Shares
Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
NoValue$7.8KPnL+$557Avg72¢Current77.5¢10,097.4Shares
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
YesValue$6KPnL+$2.3KAvg3.2¢Current5.3¢113,024.43Shares
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
NoValue$5KPnL−$1.5KAvg54.8¢Current41.9¢11,825.04Shares
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?
YesValue$3.1KPnL+$238Avg66¢Current71.5¢4,332.95Shares
Showing 8 of 28 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet norrisfan: 35.7% win rate over 401 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +0.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −25.5%, n=522 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+0.9% over 521 fills); −$225K lifetime P&L, $47.1M traded, updated 2026-09-23.