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Trader profile

Palmfrog

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$13KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Only 6 settled so far17 open · 16% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$356.1K757 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded67Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Too few positions have settled to establish a win-rate record.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$24.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$5.5K
Concentration
63%
Largest share of value
Positions
25
Showing the largest 8 of 25
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
NoValue$15.3KPnL+$1.3KAvg90.1¢Current98.4¢15,533.18Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$5.8KPnL+$629Avg82.4¢Current92.5¢6,253Shares
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$2.2KPnL+$1KAvg6¢Current11.5¢18,970.73Shares
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
YesValue$488PnL−$11Avg24¢Current23.5¢2,078.35Shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$261PnL−$412Avg33.9¢Current13.2¢1,988.32Shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$71PnL−$110Avg18¢Current7¢1,000Shares
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$45PnL+$15Avg4¢Current6.1¢750Shares
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$38PnL−$12Avg3.3¢Current2.6¢1,479Shares
Showing 8 of 25 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Palmfrog: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$13K lifetime P&L, $356.1K traded, updated 2026-09-23.