PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Pog

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$1.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate74.2%236 settled · past 180 days36 open · 41% underwater · 5 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded393Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+3.4% / $95% interval −169.8% to +176.7%11 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 74.2% · Decided 236 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$130K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$29K
Concentration
48.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
81
Showing the largest 8 of 81
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$62.7KPnL+$10.2KAvg42.9¢Current51.2¢122,601.38Shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$19KPnL−$7.5KAvg21.4¢Current15.4¢123,744.35Shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
NoValue$9.8KPnL+$522Avg92.1¢Current97.3¢10,029.38Shares
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
NoValue$9.6KPnL+$277Avg93.8¢Current96.6¢9,957.56Shares
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$3KPnL+$255Avg2.5¢Current2.8¢109,231.33Shares
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$3KPnL+$113Avg4.9¢Current5.1¢59,134.39Shares
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
NoValue$2.7KPnL+$541Avg78¢Current97.7¢2,748.3Shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NoValue$2.1KPnL−$99Avg85.6¢Current81.8¢2,590.78Shares
Showing 8 of 81 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Pog: 74.2% win rate over 236 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +3.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −169.8%, n=11 settled fills over 90 days); −$1.4K lifetime P&L, $1.9M traded, updated 2026-09-24.