Last loaded22 hours ago
- Current position value
- $8.1K
- Snapshot cash PnL
- −$201.2K
- Concentration
- 60.5% Largest share of value
- Positions
- 443 Showing the largest 8 of 443
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Showing 8 of 443 positions by current value
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Trader profile
sugar-super
DirectionalHistorical record
Loss-making historically.
Lifetime PnL−$26.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate49.8%635 settled · past 180 days4 open · 84% underwater · 22 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded923Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price
How this is computedProfit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.
+3.7% / $95% interval −31.3% to +38.7%167 settled fills · 90d window
- Sports
- +3.7%n=167 settled
A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.
This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.
Measured 16 minutes ago
How this record is measured
Win rate 49.8% · Decided 635 · 180d
Observed activity
Where and how this wallet trades
Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.
No category data for this wallet.
No tracked trading behavior yet.
Current holdings
Sources
Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.
Results by category
Sources
Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…
Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.
Recent activity
Whale activity over 30 days
Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.
Loading tracked activity…
Large trades
Recent large trades
Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations
no result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$1KAdd
no result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$1KAdd
no result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$1KOpen
no result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$5KOpen
no result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$1.2KAbout this wallet
Wallet sugar-super: 49.8% win rate over 635 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +3.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −31.3%, n=167 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+3.7% over 167 fills); −$26.7K lifetime P&L, $2.4M traded, updated 2026-09-23.