PolyTrace
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Trader profile

fa666

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$974Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet0 open · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$313.8K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded957Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+0.5% / $95% interval −6.1% to +7.0%12 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+0.5%n=12 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.4K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
172
Showing the largest 8 of 172
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 8?
YesValue$0PnL−$1Avg67¢Current0¢1.49Shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on August 9?
YesValue$0PnL$0Avg0¢Current0¢57.22Shares
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 13?
YesValue$0PnL−$5Avg39¢Current0¢12.82Shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 9?
YesValue$0PnL−$1Avg69¢Current0¢1.45Shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on August 11?
YesValue$0PnL−$4Avg49¢Current0¢8.16Shares
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on August 13?
YesValue$0PnL−$5Avg43¢Current0¢11.63Shares
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 13?
YesValue$0PnL−$5Avg35¢Current0¢14.29Shares
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 21?
NoValue$0PnL−$0.26Avg86.6¢Current0¢0.3Shares
Showing 8 of 172 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet fa666: edge +0.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −6.1%, n=12 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+0.5% over 12 fills); −$974 lifetime P&L, $313.8K traded, updated 2026-09-21.