PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xe5f0…dc1d

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$558.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate31%736 settled · past 90 days11 open · 79% underwater · 11 hours ago
Lifetime volume$28.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,258Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−9.0% / $95% interval −75.1% to +57.1%163 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
−3.3%n=58 settled
Sports
−19.5%n=103 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 31% · Decided 736 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded11 hours ago
Current position value
$23K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.1M
Concentration
56.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
697
Showing the largest 8 of 697
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$12.9KPnL+$2.7KAvg51.7¢Current65.5¢19,722.42Shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
YesValue$6.4KPnL−$8.8KAvg34.4¢Current14.5¢44,043.06Shares
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
NoValue$1.4KPnL+$358Avg64.4¢Current87.4¢1,560.46Shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$1.2KPnL−$1.2KAvg26.8¢Current13.2¢8,999.95Shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$671PnL−$942Avg17.2¢Current7.2¢9,390.88Shares
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
YesValue$119PnL−$54Avg32.6¢Current22.5¢528.52Shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
NoValue$97PnL+$17Avg80¢Current96.6¢100Shares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YesValue$80PnL−$181Avg21.2¢Current6.5¢1,229.02Shares
Showing 8 of 697 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xe5f0ae9cc9aef77ae3c2a64c9e69caa3f335dc1d: 31% win rate over 736 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −9.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −75.1%, n=163 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−19.5% over 103 fills); −$558.2K lifetime P&L, $28.9M traded, updated 2026-09-23.