PolyTrace
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Trader profile

dwFqcd4Z

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$1.5MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate56.4%39 settled · past 180 days12 open · 84% underwater · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$11.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded97Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−83.1% / $95% interval −88.6% to −77.7%74 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−42.3%n=11 settled
Sports
−80.8%n=63 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 56.4% · Decided 39 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$117K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.8M
Concentration
65.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
29
Showing the largest 8 of 29
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$76.4KPnL+$15.3KAvg75.5¢Current94.5¢80,860.09Shares
NoValue$10.5KPnL+$629Avg79.4¢Current84.5¢12,394.31Shares
NoValue$6.1KPnL+$1.1KAvg80.2¢Current96.8¢6,337.87Shares
NoValue$6KPnL+$1.4KAvg74.5¢Current97.3¢6,150Shares
NoValue$5.6KPnL+$807Avg80¢Current93.5¢5,978.75Shares
NoValue$2.4KPnL+$707Avg67¢Current95.7¢2,471.52Shares
NoValue$1.8KPnL+$182Avg87.1¢Current96.9¢1,871.38Shares
NoValue$1.8KPnL+$87Avg89¢Current93.5¢1,933.35Shares
Showing 8 of 29 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet dwFqcd4Z: 56.4% win rate over 39 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −83.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −88.6%, n=74 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−42.3% over 11 fills); −$1.5M lifetime P&L, $11.9M traded, updated 2026-09-21.