PolyTrace
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Trader profile

alwaysfade

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$26.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate35.8%162 settled · past 180 days9 open · 49% underwater · 8 hours ago
Lifetime volume$7.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded176Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−6.0% / $95% interval −24.2% to +12.1%46 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−4.7%n=44 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 35.8% · Decided 162 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded8 hours ago
Current position value
$19.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1M
Concentration
62.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
110
Showing the largest 8 of 110
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$12KPnL+$137Avg87.8¢Current88.9¢13,499.98Shares
YesValue$1.7KPnL−$97Avg0.9¢Current0.9¢199,999.89Shares
Colts · NoValue$1.5KPnL+$17Avg42¢Current42.5¢3,575.9Shares
YesValue$1.3KPnL+$182Avg1.6¢Current1.9¢72,712.91Shares
YesValue$916PnL+$102AvgCurrent4.5¢20,348.92Shares
YesValue$700PnL−$300AvgCurrent0.7¢99,999.88Shares
YesValue$505PnL−$19Avg52.5¢Current50.6¢999Shares
YesValue$344PnL−$14Avg13¢Current12.5¢2,751.48Shares
Showing 8 of 110 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet alwaysfade: 35.8% win rate over 162 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −6.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −24.2%, n=46 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−4.7% over 44 fills); −$26.2K lifetime P&L, $7.5M traded, updated 2026-09-23.