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Trader profile

User1244322

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$491.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate53.6%409 settled · past 90 days5 open · 72% underwater · 5 hours ago
Lifetime volume$14.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded786Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−10.7% / $95% interval −128.1% to +106.6%456 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−11.1%n=448 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 53.6% · Decided 409 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$16.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.5M
Concentration
52.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
272
Showing the largest 8 of 272
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
McNeese · NoValue$8.5KPnL+$593Avg60¢Current64.5¢13,181.27Shares
Maple Leafs · YesValue$4.4KPnL−$1.9KAvg51.3¢Current35.5¢12,263.81Shares
Florida · NoValue$3KPnL+$101Avg58¢Current60¢5,025Shares
Senators · NoValue$152PnL+$42Avg46.6¢Current64.5¢235.75Shares
Under · NoValue$61PnL+$22Avg57¢Current88¢69.77Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$183AvgCurrent18,854.61Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$446AvgCurrent45,537.15Shares
Phoenix Mercury · YesValue$0PnL−$469Avg1.8¢Current26,078.63Shares
Showing 8 of 272 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet User1244322: 53.6% win rate over 409 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −10.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −128.1%, n=456 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−11.1% over 448 fills); −$491.8K lifetime P&L, $14.9M traded, updated 2026-09-23.