PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

hobo69

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$167.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate54.4%2,287 settled · past 90 days13 open · 72% underwater · 6 hours ago
Lifetime volume$6.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,665Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−7.0% / $95% interval −149.8% to +135.8%128 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+0.6%n=83 settled
Unmapped
−5.6%n=24 settled
Politics
−24.0%n=20 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 54.4% · Decided 2,287 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded6 hours ago
Current position value
$6.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$24.9K
Concentration
14.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
90
Showing the largest 8 of 90
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar
Francisco Comesana · YesValue$870PnL+$90Avg65¢Current72.5¢1,200Shares
San Diego 2: Keegan Smith vs Dylan Dietrich
Dylan Dietrich · NoValue$774PnL+$31Avg61.9¢Current64.5¢1,200Shares
Hangzhou Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Coleman Wong
Coleman Wong · NoValue$615PnL+$5Avg61¢Current61.5¢999.99Shares
Norway vs. Denmark: Norway O/U 1.5
Over · YesValue$605PnL−$5Avg61¢Current60.5¢1,000Shares
Game Spread: Adolfo Vallejo (-4.5) vs Jie Cui (+4.5)
Jie Cui · NoValue$580PnL−$43Avg62.3¢Current58¢1,000Shares
Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Terence Atmane
Terence Atmane · NoValue$565PnL−$13Avg57.8¢Current56.5¢1,000Shares
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C
Paper Rex · NoValue$555PnL−$5Avg56¢Current55.5¢999.99Shares
Hangzhou Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng
Yunchaokete Bu · YesValue$435PnL+$5Avg43¢Current43.5¢1,000Shares
Showing 8 of 90 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet hobo69: 54.4% win rate over 2,287 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −7.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −149.8%, n=128 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+0.6% over 83 fills); −$167.5K lifetime P&L, $6.5M traded, updated 2026-09-23.