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Trader profile

Machaon

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$11.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet18 open · 73% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded733Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$9.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$5K
Concentration
39.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
29
Showing the largest 8 of 29
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?
YesValue$3.8KPnL−$848Avg39.2¢Current32¢11,835.53Shares
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
YesValue$2.2KPnL−$390Avg65.2¢Current55.5¢3,999.99Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$1.5KPnL+$720Avg32.1¢Current60.9¢2,499.91Shares
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$625PnL+$105Avg10.4¢Current12.5¢5,000.44Shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$313PnL−$162Avg23.7¢Current15.7¢1,999.98Shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$202PnL−$142Avg22.9¢Current13.5¢1,500Shares
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
YesValue$125PnL−$195Avg32¢Current12.5¢1,000Shares
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$121PnL+$20Avg5¢Current6.1¢2,000Shares
Showing 8 of 29 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Machaon: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$11.5K lifetime P&L, $2M traded, updated 2026-09-21.