PolyTrace
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Trader profile

sameday1

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$74.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate59.3%59 settled · past 180 days8 open · 77% underwater · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$4.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded72Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−23.9% / $95% interval −229.8% to +182.0%33 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−23.5%n=15 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 59.3% · Decided 59 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$31.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$75.1K
Concentration
48%
Largest share of value
Positions
20
Showing the largest 8 of 20
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$15.1KPnL+$343Avg96.8¢Current99.1¢15,258.94Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$3.7KPnL+$310Avg90¢Current98.2¢3,798.05Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$3.4KPnL+$121Avg94.5¢Current98.1¢3,420.37Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$3.3KPnL+$82Avg95.6¢Current98¢3,409.09Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$3.1KPnL+$74Avg96.5¢Current98.9¢3,167.4Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.6KPnL+$31Avg97.1¢Current99¢1,663.5Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$969PnL−$3.2KAvg71¢Current16.5¢5,874.75Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$230PnL+$9Avg93¢Current97¢237.21Shares
Showing 8 of 20 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet sameday1: 59.3% win rate over 59 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −23.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −229.8%, n=33 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−23.5% over 15 fills); +$74.4K lifetime P&L, $4.9M traded, updated 2026-09-21.