PolyTrace
Back to wallets

Trader profile

SnowballHustle

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$17.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate51.8%307 settled · past 180 days1 open · 100% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$1.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded439Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−10.4% / $95% interval −79.9% to +59.0%10 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−10.4%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 51.8% · Decided 307 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded11 hours ago
Current position value
$26
Snapshot cash PnL
−$11.1K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
36
Showing the largest 8 of 36
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$26PnL−$29Avg22¢Current10.5¢250Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$74Avg59¢Current125Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$7.7KAvg85.9¢Current9,026.99Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$12Avg10.9¢Current110Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$32Avg81.9¢Current39.53Shares
Showing 8 of 36 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet SnowballHustle: 51.8% win rate over 307 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −10.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −79.9%, n=10 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−10.4% over 10 fills); +$17.9K lifetime P&L, $1.2M traded, updated 2026-09-23.