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Trader profile

samostan1990

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$44.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate45.1%193 settled · past 180 days0 open · 4 days ago
Lifetime volume$616.1K428 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded211Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−17.5% / $95% interval −44.6% to +9.6%22 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−15.2%n=21 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 45.1% · Decided 193 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded17 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$98.4K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
102
Showing the largest 8 of 102
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Los Angeles Sparks · YesValue$0PnL−$43Avg22¢Current194Shares
UnderValue$0PnL−$5KAvg53¢Current9,433.96Shares
Seattle Storm · NoValue$0PnL−$501Avg52¢Current962.67Shares
Golden State Valkyries · YesValue$0PnL−$701Avg60¢Current1,168.63Shares
Las Vegas Aces · NoValue$0PnL−$295Avg40¢Current737.78Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$105Avg40¢Current262.88Shares
Dallas Wings · YesValue$0PnL$0AvgCurrent875.62Shares
Under · NoValue$0PnL−$493Avg54.7¢Current902.02Shares
Showing 8 of 102 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet samostan1990: 45.1% win rate over 193 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −17.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −44.6%, n=22 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−15.2% over 21 fills); +$44.7K lifetime P&L, $616.1K traded, updated 2026-09-23.