PolyTrace
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Trader profile

New.Jeans

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$167.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…21 open · 43% underwater · 5 hours ago
Lifetime volume$12.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded545Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+15.7% / $95% interval −38.4% to +69.7%85 settled fills · 90d window
Culture
+18.3%n=65 settled
Finance
+9.8%n=14 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$46.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$109.6K
Concentration
29.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
108
Showing the largest 8 of 108
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
YesValue$13.6KPnL−$192Avg56.3¢Current55.5¢24,569.08Shares
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
YesValue$12.2KPnL−$175Avg50.2¢Current49.5¢24,721.92Shares
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?
YesValue$4.3KPnL+$1.9KAvg54¢Current98¢4,399.24Shares
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
NoValue$3.9KPnL+$119Avg55.7¢Current57.5¢6,788.81Shares
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
NoValue$3KPnL+$25Avg58¢Current58.5¢5,052.11Shares
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$2.5KPnL−$60Avg63¢Current61.5¢4,000Shares
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
YesValue$2.1KPnL+$34Avg40.8¢Current41.5¢5,026.77Shares
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?
YesValue$2KPnL+$64Avg63¢Current65¢3,123.81Shares
Showing 8 of 108 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet New.Jeans: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +15.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −38.4%, n=85 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Culture (+18.3% over 65 fills); +$167.6K lifetime P&L, $12.8M traded, updated 2026-09-24.