PolyTrace
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Trader profile

asdfasdav

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$6.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate59.1%22 settled · past 180 days15 open · 100% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded51Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−52.0% / $95% interval −633.6% to +529.6%23 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−47.9%n=20 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 59.1% · Decided 22 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$6.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$16.6K
Concentration
63.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
33
Showing the largest 8 of 33
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
YesValue$4.4KPnL−$6.8KAvg15.2¢Current5.9¢73,282.22Shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
YesValue$853PnL−$147Avg17¢Current14.5¢5,882.37Shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
YesValue$406PnL−$260Avg15.6¢Current9.5¢4,275.78Shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
NoValue$322PnL−$261Avg8¢Current4.5¢7,242.54Shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
YesValue$257PnL−$39Avg1.7¢Current1.5¢17,100.34Shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
YesValue$122PnL−$103Avg11.9¢Current6.5¢1,883.7Shares
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?
YesValue$88PnL−$73Avg1.5¢Current0.8¢10,960.18Shares
Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?
YesValue$77PnL−$2Avg7.4¢Current7.3¢1,053.14Shares
Showing 8 of 33 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet asdfasdav: 59.1% win rate over 22 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −52.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −633.6%, n=23 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−47.9% over 20 fills); +$6.8K lifetime P&L, $2M traded, updated 2026-09-23.