PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Dar1us

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$18.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet2 open · 59% underwater · 5 hours ago
Lifetime volume$5.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,148Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−24.4% / $95% interval −50.5% to +1.6%48 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−26.3%n=32 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$1.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$21.6K
Concentration
92.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
20
Showing the largest 8 of 20
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026?
NoValue$1.1KPnL+$44Avg93¢Current97¢1,116.04Shares
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?
NoValue$87PnL−$64Avg76.6¢Current44¢197.54Shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
YesValue$0PnL−$510Avg51¢Current0¢1,000Shares
Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
YesValue$0PnL−$840Avg84¢Current0¢1,000Shares
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
YesValue$0PnL−$1.1KAvg27.5¢Current0¢3,999.96Shares
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?
NoValue$0PnL−$8Avg25¢Current0¢30.46Shares
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
YesValue$0PnL−$690Avg69¢Current0¢1,000Shares
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
NoValue$0PnL−$2.1KAvg87.8¢Current0¢2,391.7Shares
Showing 8 of 20 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Dar1us: edge −24.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −50.5%, n=48 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−26.3% over 32 fills); +$18.5K lifetime P&L, $5.7M traded, updated 2026-09-24.