PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x8542adb70397e9de67ba9abe6971e3f50fb7a7b

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$106.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate47.5%415 settled · past 90 days116 open · 52% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$21.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded366Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+9.8% / $95% interval −58.2% to +77.9%888 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+28.4%n=45 settled
Culture
+22.5%n=10 settled
Politics
+16.5%n=623 settled
Finance
−21.6%n=193 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 47.5% · Decided 415 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$195K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$50.6K
Concentration
17.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
251
Showing the largest 8 of 251
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$34.3KPnL+$8.3KAvg50.4¢Current66.5¢51,599.57Shares
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$25.2KPnL+$4.1KAvg51.4¢Current61.5¢40,909.64Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$17.3KPnL+$2.8KAvg48¢Current57.4¢30,165.21Shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
NoValue$9KPnL+$301Avg96.4¢Current99.8¢9,015.56Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$7.4KPnL+$348Avg65.3¢Current68.5¢10,789.74Shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
NoValue$7.1KPnL+$16Avg70.3¢Current70.5¢10,043.69Shares
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?
NoValue$6.2KPnL+$234Avg95.3¢Current99.1¢6,233.95Shares
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$6.2KPnL+$557Avg28.7¢Current31.5¢19,594.36Shares
Showing 8 of 251 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x8542adb70397e9de67ba9abe6971e3f50fb7a…: 47.5% win rate over 415 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +9.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −58.2%, n=888 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+28.4% over 45 fills); +$106.5K lifetime P&L, $21.8M traded, updated 2026-09-24.