PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

Elposton

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$14KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate18.3%300 settled · past 180 days5 open · 100% underwater · 20 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded521Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+138.9% / $95% interval −387.0% to +664.9%55 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
+235.9%n=28 settled
Finance
+19.3%n=15 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 18.3% · Decided 300 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded20 hours ago
Current position value
$56
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.8K
Concentration
47%
Largest share of value
Positions
64
Showing the largest 8 of 64
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m?
YesValue$26PnL−$0.53Avg1.6¢Current1.6¢1,635.65Shares
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?
YesValue$16PnL−$0.71Avg7.3¢Current7¢231.02Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 24?
NoValue$7PnL−$10Avg3.7¢Current1.5¢477.43Shares
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?
YesValue$4PnL−$2Avg0.7¢Current0.5¢834.49Shares
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 13m?
YesValue$2PnL−$5Avg2.2¢Current0.7¢343.94Shares
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?
YesValue$0PnL−$13Avg12¢Current0¢107.88Shares
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be less than 4m?
YesValue$0PnL−$15Avg6.7¢Current0¢223Shares
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be between 4.5m and 5m?
YesValue$0PnL−$1Avg0.2¢Current0¢565.7Shares
Showing 8 of 64 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Elposton: 18.3% win rate over 300 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +138.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −387.0%, n=55 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (+235.9% over 28 fills); −$14K lifetime P&L, $3.7M traded, updated 2026-09-23.