PolyTrace
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Trader profile

tja

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$135.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate73.8%168 settled · past 90 days64 open · 34% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,047Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+22.5% / $95% interval −68.2% to +113.2%19 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+12.6%n=12 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 73.8% · Decided 168 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$108.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$19.7K
Concentration
33.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
64
Showing the largest 8 of 64
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$36.7KPnL+$16.7KAvg50¢Current91.7¢40,000Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NoValue$32.6KPnL+$17.6KAvg36.1¢Current78.5¢41,494.25Shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NoValue$4.3KPnL+$578Avg74.9¢Current86.5¢4,999.98Shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$3.3KPnL−$16.7KAvg50¢Current8.3¢40,000Shares
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
NoValue$2KPnL+$208Avg88.2¢Current98.2¢2,076.27Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
NoValue$1.9KPnL+$433Avg68¢Current87.5¢2,222Shares
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.8KPnL−$130Avg73.5¢Current68.5¢2,571.79Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
NoValue$1.7KPnL+$331Avg74.1¢Current92.5¢1,800Shares
Showing 8 of 64 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet tja: 73.8% win rate over 168 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +22.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −68.2%, n=19 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+12.6% over 12 fills); +$135.8K lifetime P&L, $2.8M traded, updated 2026-09-24.