PolyTrace
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Trader profile

MediumJos

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$1.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet0 open · 16 days ago
Lifetime volume$176.7K156 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded23Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−8.7% / $95% interval −446.2% to +428.8%14 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−8.7%n=14 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$15.8K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
17
Showing the largest 8 of 17
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Swedish Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Stefano Travaglia
Stefano Travaglia · NoValue$0PnL−$21Avg31.4¢Current0¢65.59Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$400Avg17.4¢Current0¢2,303.16Shares
Pozoblanco: Yi Zhou vs Tiago Pereira
Yi Zhou · YesValue$0PnL−$450Avg16.4¢Current0¢2,740.67Shares
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea Pellegrino
Andrea Pellegrino · NoValue$0PnL−$3.7KAvg16¢Current0¢23,145.32Shares
Cordenons: Stefano Napolitano vs Alex Barrena
Alex Barrena · NoValue$0PnL−$200Avg6¢Current0¢3,333.33Shares
Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Viktoria Morvayova vs Ayla Aksu
Viktoria Morvayova · YesValue$0PnL−$47Avg7.6¢Current0¢623.42Shares
Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Mitchell Krueger
Mitchell Krueger · NoValue$0PnL−$1.4KAvg12¢Current0¢11,250Shares
Granby: Aleksandar Vukic vs Nicolas Arseneault
Nicolas Arseneault · NoValue$0PnL−$1.4KAvg10.2¢Current0¢14,051.65Shares
Showing 8 of 17 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet MediumJos: edge −8.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −446.2%, n=14 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−8.7% over 14 fills); −$1.1K lifetime P&L, $176.7K traded, updated 2026-09-20.