PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xe16d…5e30

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$821.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate57.9%644 settled · past 90 days2 open · 100% underwater · 14 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$69.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded783Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−10.0% / $95% interval −14.1% to −5.9%2,525 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−9.8%n=2,472 settled
Unmapped
−14.8%n=53 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 57.9% · Decided 644 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete14 minutes ago
Current position value
$21.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$15M
Concentration
90.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
585
Showing the largest 8 of 585
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner
Xtreme Gaming · YesValue$19.1KPnL−$869Avg67.4¢Current64.5¢29,660.68Shares
Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)
Xtreme Gaming · YesValue$2KPnL−$22Avg46¢Current45.5¢4,347.83Shares
Dota 2: Klim Sani4 vs Team Synapse (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs
Team Synapse · NoValue$0PnL−$3Avg34¢Current0¢8.82Shares
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A
GamerLegion · YesValue$0PnL−$4KAvg17.4¢Current0¢22,782.53Shares
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner
Xtreme Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$47KAvg65.1¢Current0¢72,234.18Shares
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
Team Spirit · YesValue$0PnL−$16.8KAvg57.3¢Current0¢29,410.01Shares
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs PlayTime (BO3) - Games of the Future Group B
Team Resilience · YesValue$0PnL−$6.1KAvg26.7¢Current0¢22,825.73Shares
Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner
Aurora · YesValue$0PnL−$63.2KAvg52.1¢Current0¢121,151.72Shares
Showing 8 of 585 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xe16d3f2a5807999b358affd9445c3a09e45e5e30: 57.9% win rate over 644 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −10.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −14.1%, n=2,525 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−9.8% over 2,472 fills); −$821.9K lifetime P&L, $69.6M traded, updated 2026-09-24.