Trader profile

Nadmi

Market makers

Profile updated2026-09-24

Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗

Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$141.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime

Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…375 open · 15% underwater · 9 hours ago

Lifetime volume$20.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket

Markets traded1,071Lifetime coverage

Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

−19.4% / $95% interval −382.4% to +343.5%16 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 7 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Current holdings

Sources

Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.

Last loaded9 hours ago

Current position value: $50.3K
Snapshot cash PnL: +$16.4K
Concentration: 35.2%
Positions: 377

EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

NoValue$17.7KPnL+$6.5KAvg56.2¢Current88.5¢20,000.01Shares

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

NoValue$12.5KPnL+$4.8KAvg57.2¢Current93¢13,467.37Shares

Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?

NoValue$2.4KPnL+$2.4KAvg0¢Current78.7¢3,000Shares

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

YesValue$2.1KPnL+$928Avg42.5¢Current75.5¢2,809.94Shares

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

NoValue$2.1KPnL+$616Avg60¢Current84.7¢2,500Shares

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

NoValue$929PnL+$429Avg50¢Current92.9¢1,000Shares

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

YesValue$866PnL−$60Avg52.9¢Current49.5¢1,749.59Shares

Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?

YesValue$754PnL+$253Avg17.3¢Current26¢2,898.46Shares

Showing 8 of 377 positions by current value

Results by category

Sources

Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.

Results

Exposure

Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

6 days ago

SELLNO

3.75% · 95.5¢

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?Open market →$1.1K

8 days ago

SELLNO

No · 67.4¢

Fed rate hike in 2026?Open market →$5.3K

Reduce

8 days ago

SELLYES

Other · 90¢

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)Open market →$2.9K

8 days ago

BUYYES

Other · 50.5¢

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)Open market →$1.5K

20 days ago

SELLNO

Nicolás Maduro · 90¢

#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?Open market →$2.6K

About this wallet

Wallet Nadmi: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −19.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −382.4%, n=16 settled fills over 90 days); +$141.7K lifetime P&L, $20.2M traded, updated 2026-09-24.