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Trader profile

BielBitcoin

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$547Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate71.8%216 settled · past 180 days0 open · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$438.7K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded422Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 71.8% · Decided 216 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.6K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
16
Showing the largest 8 of 16
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on July 14?
NoValue$0PnL−$1.2KAvg93.3¢Current0¢1,298.71Shares
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 12?
NoValue$0PnL−$74Avg78.8¢Current0¢94.04Shares
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on August 7?
NoValue$0PnL−$1KAvg96.6¢Current0¢1,077.15Shares
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
NoValue$0PnL−$0.20Avg0.1¢Current0¢200Shares
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of May 11 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$0.30Avg0.1¢Current0¢300Shares
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 16?
YesValue$0PnL−$78Avg84.3¢Current0¢92.73Shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
YesValue$0PnL−$0.10Avg0.1¢Current0¢100Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 25 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$0.10Avg0.1¢Current0¢100Shares
Showing 8 of 16 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet BielBitcoin: 71.8% win rate over 216 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$547 lifetime P&L, $438.7K traded, updated 2026-09-21.