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Trader profile

Marty-Byrde

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$3.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—The available history is not deep enough to verify this9 open · 48% underwater · 4 days ago
Lifetime volume$7.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded428Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−16.8% / $95% interval −33.5% to −0.2%25 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−17.5%n=24 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

The full history is not available, so the win rate cannot be verified.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$971
Snapshot cash PnL
+$4
Concentration
36.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
9
Showing the largest 8 of 9
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?
YesValue$351PnL−$17Avg11¢Current10.5¢3,340.69Shares
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
NoValue$175PnL+$4Avg65¢Current66.5¢262.87Shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?
NoValue$126PnL+$8Avg66.2¢Current70.5¢179.25Shares
Will the Winnipeg Jets be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?
YesValue$95PnL+$21Avg0.7¢Current0.9¢10,552.03Shares
No one announced as next James Bond?
YesValue$93PnL−$17Avg22.4¢Current18.9¢492.89Shares
Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?
NoValue$44PnL−$0.25Avg88¢Current87.5¢50.56Shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?
NoValue$38PnL+$2Avg61.7¢Current66¢57.08Shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?
NoValue$30PnL+$0.34Avg43¢Current43.5¢68.22Shares
Showing 8 of 9 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Marty-Byrde: edge −16.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −33.5%, n=25 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−17.5% over 24 fills); −$3.3K lifetime P&L, $7.5M traded, updated 2026-09-20.