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Trader profile

lox97

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$16.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate4.5%336 settled · past 90 days5 open · 98% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$2.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded384Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−72.7% / $95% interval −403.6% to +258.1%40 settled fills · 90d window
Culture
−72.7%n=40 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 4.5% · Decided 336 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$250
Snapshot cash PnL
−$34K
Concentration
74.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
371
Showing the largest 8 of 371
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
YesValue$187PnL+$5Avg1.6¢Current1.6¢11,671.91Shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$48PnL−$190Avg3.7¢Current0.8¢6,455.46Shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$7PnL−$143Avg1¢Current0.1¢14,756.3Shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
YesValue$7PnL+$2Avg0.3¢Current0.5¢1,594.01Shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?
YesValue$0.03PnL+$0.01Avg0.2¢Current0.3¢10Shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$203Avg0.5¢Current0¢42,633.61Shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$5Avg0.7¢Current0¢811.83Shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$5Avg0.1¢Current0¢4,871.42Shares
Showing 8 of 371 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet lox97: 4.5% win rate over 336 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −72.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −403.6%, n=40 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Culture (−72.7% over 40 fills); +$16.8K lifetime P&L, $2.4M traded, updated 2026-09-23.