PolyTrace
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Trader profile

TAIWANNUMBERONE

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$550.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate53.1%1,240 settled · past 90 days6 open · 11% underwater · 6 hours ago
Lifetime volume$39.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded628Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+3.9% / $95% interval −3.3% to +11.2%982 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+30.9%n=61 settled
Culture
+3.9%n=19 settled
Sports
+1.6%n=902 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 53.1% · Decided 1,240 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded6 hours ago
Current position value
$105.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$7.6M
Concentration
72.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
927
Showing the largest 8 of 927
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
New York Yankees · NoValue$76.7KPnL+$30.7KAvg59¢Current98.3¢78,025.66Shares
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
New York Yankees · YesValue$24KPnL+$14.5KAvg38¢Current95.9¢24,999.98Shares
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
NoValue$2.3KPnL−$5.7KAvg61.5¢Current17.5¢12,999.94Shares
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?
NoValue$2KPnL+$53Avg92¢Current94.5¢2,140.86Shares
Will Alberta join the US?
NoValue$719PnL+$10Avg97.8¢Current99.2¢725.62Shares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
NoValue$0.77PnL$0Avg98¢Current98.2¢0.78Shares
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$7Avg33¢Current0¢20Shares
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Eintracht Spandau (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season
Kaufland Hangry KnightsValue$0PnL−$23Avg23.5¢Current0¢97.69Shares
Showing 8 of 927 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet TAIWANNUMBERONE: 53.1% win rate over 1,240 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +3.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −3.3%, n=982 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Culture (+3.9% over 19 fills); −$550.8K lifetime P&L, $39.8M traded, updated 2026-09-24.