PolyTrace
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Trader profile

ToTheWindow

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$32.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate59.4%251 settled · past 180 days26 open · 50% underwater · 9 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded387Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−37.3% / $95% interval −515.5% to +440.9%11 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−37.3%n=11 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 59.4% · Decided 251 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded9 hours ago
Current position value
$2.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$8.5K
Concentration
33.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
91
Showing the largest 8 of 91
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$883PnL+$76Avg80.9¢Current88.5¢998.27Shares
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$353PnL+$6Avg55¢Current56¢630.98Shares
Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$344PnL+$79Avg61.2¢Current79.5¢433.18Shares
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$237PnL+$62Avg20.3¢Current27.5¢860Shares
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?
NoValue$185PnL+$38Avg70.3¢Current88.5¢209.38Shares
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$124PnL−$14Avg65.6¢Current59¢209.97Shares
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
YesValue$74PnL−$26Avg63.5¢Current47¢157.44Shares
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?
YesValue$63PnL−$35Avg13.2¢Current8.5¢742.7Shares
Showing 8 of 91 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet ToTheWindow: 59.4% win rate over 251 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −37.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −515.5%, n=11 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−37.3% over 11 fills); +$32.8K lifetime P&L, $1.7M traded, updated 2026-09-23.