PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

gkeqd

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$893.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate67.3%419 settled · past 90 days158 open · 64% underwater · 5 hours ago
Lifetime volume$111.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded258Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−3.7% / $95% interval −119.9% to +112.5%595 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+7.6%n=404 settled
Culture
−18.4%n=35 settled
Sports
−27.0%n=154 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 67.3% · Decided 419 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$866.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$29K
Concentration
18.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
162
Showing the largest 8 of 162
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?
NoValue$162.9KPnL+$4.9KAvg95.2¢Current98.2¢165,863.07Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
NoValue$65.9KPnL+$139Avg99.1¢Current99.4¢66,292.14Shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$49.2KPnL+$2.9KAvg87.9¢Current93.5¢52,588.1Shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
NoValue$45.3KPnL+$4.1KAvg86¢Current94.5¢47,911.16Shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
NoValue$38.6KPnL+$2.3KAvg92.9¢Current98.9¢39,036.98Shares
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
NoValue$34KPnL+$1.2KAvg93.2¢Current96.7¢35,215.99Shares
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?
NoValue$28.6KPnL+$1.1KAvg91.2¢Current94.9¢30,182.29Shares
NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?
NoValue$27.2KPnL+$2.6KAvg87.8¢Current97.3¢27,939.29Shares
Showing 8 of 162 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet gkeqd: 67.3% win rate over 419 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −3.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −119.9%, n=595 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+7.6% over 404 fills); +$893.9K lifetime P&L, $111.2M traded, updated 2026-09-23.