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Trader profile

arm1337

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$73.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate57.2%512 settled · past 90 days0 open · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$2.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,515Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+54.9% / $95% interval −40.5% to +150.2%189 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+59.6%n=168 settled
Unmapped
+7.8%n=21 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 57.2% · Decided 512 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded8 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$33.7K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
79
Showing the largest 8 of 79
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
Invictus Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$500Avg37¢Current0¢1,351Shares
LoL: Maryville University vs Contingent Esports - Game 2 Winner
Contingent EsportsValue$0PnL−$7Avg3.6¢Current0¢202.23Shares
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner
ThunderTalk GamingValue$0PnL−$0.21Avg61.1¢Current0¢0.35Shares
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner
DN SOOPers · YesValue$0PnL−$75Avg1¢Current0¢7,500Shares
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Invictus Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$0.18Avg62¢Current0¢0.29Shares
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner
Top EsportsValue$0PnL−$2KAvg63¢Current0¢3,173.98Shares
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Anyone's Legend · YesValue$0PnL−$772Avg57.9¢Current0¢1,333.24Shares
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner
Team WE · NoValue$0PnL−$154Avg7¢Current0¢2,206.38Shares
Showing 8 of 79 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet arm1337: 57.2% win rate over 512 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +54.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −40.5%, n=189 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+59.6% over 168 fills); +$73.2K lifetime P&L, $2.9M traded, updated 2026-09-24.