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Trader profile

WarewaPain

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$169.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate36.5%572 settled · past 90 days3 open · 100% underwater · 16 hours ago
Lifetime volume$6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,287Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−25.1% / $95% interval −225.3% to +175.2%318 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−23.2%n=310 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 3 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 36.5% · Decided 572 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded16 hours ago
Current position value
$299
Snapshot cash PnL
−$456.4K
Concentration
58.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
406
Showing the largest 8 of 406
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Paris FC win on 2026-09-23?
YesValue$176PnL−$5Avg1.8¢Current1.8¢10,051.26Shares
Will OL Lyonnes win on 2026-09-23?
NoValue$116PnL−$70Avg1.2¢Current0.8¢15,523.36Shares
Will Servette FC Chênois Féminin win on 2026-09-23?
YesValue$6PnL−$18Avg2.1¢Current0.5¢1,166.95Shares
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
Invictus Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$178Avg75¢Current0¢237Shares
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner
Invictus Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$1.2KAvg51¢Current0¢2,267Shares
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20?
NoValue$0PnL−$5Avg0.6¢Current0¢870Shares
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 Winner
Bilibili Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$7.3KAvg66¢Current0¢11,111Shares
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner
Movistar KOI · NoValue$0PnL−$1Avg0.3¢Current0¢333.33Shares
Showing 8 of 406 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet WarewaPain: 36.5% win rate over 572 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −25.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −225.3%, n=318 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−23.2% over 310 fills); −$169.3K lifetime P&L, $6M traded, updated 2026-09-23.