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Trader profile

PmDerek

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$2.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Positions repeatedly closed near their entry price6 open · 10% underwater · 53 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$13.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,219Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−12.3% / $95% interval −200.5% to +175.8%145 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
−12.7%n=141 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 21 hours ago

How this record is measured

Flat-price round trips dominate this sample, so no win rate is shown.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete53 minutes ago
Current position value
$8.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$13
Concentration
29.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
11
Showing the largest 8 of 11
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 24?
YesValue$2.4KPnL−$1Avg99.9¢Current99.9¢2,409.85Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24?
YesValue$2.1KPnL+$5Avg99.5¢Current99.8¢2,061.25Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 24?
YesValue$1.8KPnL+$6Avg98.4¢Current98.8¢1,827.16Shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 24?
NoValue$1.6KPnL+$5Avg99.5¢Current99.8¢1,574.32Shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 24?
NoValue$228PnL+$1Avg99¢Current99.5¢229Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 24?
YesValue$109PnL−$0.63Avg95.2¢Current94.7¢115Shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 14?
YesValue$0PnL−$23Avg22.5¢Current0¢100Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 20?
NoValue$0PnL−$1Avg0.1¢Current0¢1,060Shares
Showing 8 of 11 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet PmDerek: edge −12.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −200.5%, n=145 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−12.7% over 141 fills); −$2.6K lifetime P&L, $13.7M traded, updated 2026-09-24.