PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

tradecraft

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$857.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate51.5%7,813 settled · past 90 days10 open · 17% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$73.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,646Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+4.8% / $95% interval −9.3% to +18.8%3,586 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+4.8%n=3,586 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 51.5% · Decided 7,813 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$13.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$4.4K
Concentration
35.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
16
Showing the largest 8 of 16
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Hangzhou Open: Dane Sweeny vs Taro Daniel
Taro Daniel · NoValue$4.8KPnL+$2.4KAvg49.8¢Current100¢4,789.1Shares
Korea Open: Yeon-Woo Ku vs Gabriela Ruse
Gabriela Ruse · NoValue$4.2KPnL+$3.1KAvg24.6¢Current93¢4,497.91Shares
Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Terence Atmane
Terence Atmane · NoValue$4.1KPnL−$90Avg70¢Current68.5¢6,018.23Shares
Hangzhou Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Hugo Gaston
Hugo Gaston · NoValue$154PnL+$11Avg93¢Current100¢154Shares
Singapore Open: Talia Gibson vs Viktoria Morvayova
Talia Gibson · YesValue$96PnL−$8Avg94¢Current87.1¢110Shares
Singapore Open: Talia Gibson vs Viktoria Morvayova
Viktoria Morvayova · NoValue$81PnL+$20Avg9¢Current11.9¢683.98Shares
Korea Open: Yeon-Woo Ku vs Gabriela Ruse
Yeon-Woo Ku · YesValue$72PnL−$339Avg66¢Current11.5¢622.1Shares
Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Bolt
Fabian MarozsanValue$17PnL+$2Avg75¢Current85¢20.19Shares
Showing 8 of 16 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet tradecraft: 51.5% win rate over 7,813 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +4.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −9.3%, n=3,586 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+4.8% over 3,586 fills); +$857.9K lifetime P&L, $73.9M traded, updated 2026-09-24.