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Trader profile

wan123

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$1.2MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate40%105 settled · past 90 days54 open · 26% underwater · 17 hours ago
Lifetime volume$53.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded220Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−24.1% / $95% interval −71.6% to +23.4%310 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−18.3%n=106 settled
Finance
−41.3%n=169 settled
Politics
−44.7%n=27 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 40% · Decided 105 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded17 hours ago
Current position value
$797.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$3.2M
Concentration
24.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
295
Showing the largest 8 of 295
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
NoValue$197.8KPnL+$3.1KAvg69.4¢Current70.5¢280,618.96Shares
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
NoValue$82.5KPnL+$12.8KAvg61.2¢Current72.5¢113,860.8Shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
NoValue$80.5KPnL+$44.9KAvg41.3¢Current93.5¢86,068.13Shares
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$45.9KPnL+$9.7KAvg48.5¢Current61.5¢74,558.32Shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$40.4KPnL+$13.3KAvg9.7¢Current14.5¢278,312.05Shares
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
YesValue$34.1KPnL+$16.1KAvg50.3¢Current95.1¢35,904.31Shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$33.5KPnL+$9KAvg37.4¢Current51.2¢65,278.24Shares
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
YesValue$33.2KPnL−$26.6KAvg11.1¢Current6.2¢539,930.3Shares
Showing 8 of 295 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet wan123: 40% win rate over 105 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −24.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −71.6%, n=310 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−18.3% over 106 fills); +$1.2M lifetime P&L, $53.5M traded, updated 2026-09-23.