PolyTrace
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Trader profile

catbusiness

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$37KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate53.1%213 settled · past 180 days0 open · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$4.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded274Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−5.5% / $95% interval −32.7% to +21.6%401 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−5.5%n=401 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 16 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 53.1% · Decided 213 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$300.9K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
96
Showing the largest 8 of 96
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner
Xtreme Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$1.5KAvg28.8¢Current0¢5,214.07Shares
Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner
Aurora · YesValue$0PnL−$5KAvg80.6¢Current0¢6,203.7Shares
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage
Team Yandex · YesValue$0PnL−$7.5KAvg56.8¢Current0¢13,286.12Shares
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Vici GamingValue$0PnL−$611Avg20.6¢Current0¢2,970.7Shares
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
Aurora · YesValue$0PnL−$4.4KAvg36.3¢Current0¢12,135.55Shares
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Team Falcons · YesValue$0PnL−$1Avg77¢Current0¢1.3Shares
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
Nigma GalaxyValue$0PnL−$4.7KAvg26.9¢Current0¢17,486.52Shares
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
LGD Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$3.3KAvg29.1¢Current0¢11,322.78Shares
Showing 8 of 96 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet catbusiness: 53.1% win rate over 213 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −5.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −32.7%, n=401 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−5.5% over 401 fills); −$37K lifetime P&L, $4.4M traded, updated 2026-09-24.