PolyTrace
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Trader profile

baseinv3

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$395.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate45.6%30,513 settled · past 90 days4 open · 66% underwater · 12 hours ago
Lifetime volume$19.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,006Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−76.9% / $95% interval −571.0% to +417.1%142 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−76.2%n=137 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 45.6% · Decided 30,513 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Top 5,000
Last loaded12 hours ago

This snapshot reached the 5,000-position product limit. Showing up to 5,000 positions by size.

Current position value
$1K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.5M
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Concentration
37.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
5,000
Showing the largest 8 of 5,000
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Up · YesValue$381PnL+$90Avg76¢Current99.5¢383Shares
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-05?
YesValue$366PnL−$69Avg57¢Current48¢762.44Shares
LoL: Bubliki vs Dominion Goblins - Game 1 Winner
Dominion GoblinsValue$103PnL−$49Avg74.1¢Current50¢205Shares
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Drip Too Hard - Map 2 Winner
Drip Too HardValue$100PnL−$19Avg59.5¢Current50¢200Shares
Will CDPJuniorFC vs. Deportivo Pereira end in a draw?
YesValue$70PnL+$25Avg20.1¢Current31.5¢222.18Shares
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs The Otter Side (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B
CITA Kaizen · YesValue$0.20PnL−$153Avg37.7¢Current0.1¢406.14Shares
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 Winner
Bilibili Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$98Avg50.2¢Current0¢194.99Shares
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage
Sinners · NoValue$0PnL−$211Avg20.2¢Current0¢1,043.32Shares
Showing 8 of 5,000 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet baseinv3: 45.6% win rate over 30,513 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −76.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −571.0%, n=142 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−76.2% over 137 fills); −$395.4K lifetime P&L, $19.6M traded, updated 2026-09-23.