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Trader profile

hippoka

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$61.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate45%20 settled · past 180 days20 open · 39% underwater · 7 hours ago
Lifetime volume$9.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded91Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+2.1% / $95% interval −145.6% to +149.7%101 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
+2.1%n=101 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 45% · Decided 20 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded7 hours ago
Current position value
$54.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$2.5K
Concentration
53.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
26
Showing the largest 8 of 26
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YesValue$29.4KPnL+$26.9KAvg8¢Current96.5¢30,421.8Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$12.1KPnL+$4.8KAvg39¢Current64.5¢18,754.2Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$3.1KPnL−$2.7KAvg62.7¢Current33.5¢9,376.2Shares
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
YesValue$3KPnL+$2.9KAvg2.5¢Current48¢6,343.99Shares
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
YesValue$1.3KPnL+$1.1KAvg4.5¢Current25¢5,269.73Shares
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
NoValue$1KPnL+$830Avg19¢Current98.7¢1,041.8Shares
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
NoValue$1KPnL+$361Avg64¢Current98.7¢1,041.8Shares
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
NoValue$1KPnL+$654Avg35¢Current97.8¢1,041.8Shares
Showing 8 of 26 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet hippoka: 45% win rate over 20 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +2.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −145.6%, n=101 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (+2.1% over 101 fills); +$61.7K lifetime P&L, $9.9M traded, updated 2026-09-24.