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Trader profile

madmartigan5

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$14.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate24.2%91 settled · past 90 days25 open · 81% underwater · 5 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded225Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−23.5% / $95% interval −252.9% to +205.9%37 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−20.4%n=35 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 24.2% · Decided 91 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$25.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$58.3K
Concentration
30.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
174
Showing the largest 8 of 174
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
NoValue$7.6KPnL−$3.5KAvg19.8¢Current13.5¢56,023.74Shares
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$2.4KPnL+$78Avg37.1¢Current38.4¢6,265.81Shares
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$2KPnL−$156Avg0.9¢Current0.8¢251,509.34Shares
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$1.9KPnL−$163Avg5.5¢Current5.1¢37,702.22Shares
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$1.9KPnL+$253Avg54¢Current62.5¢2,979.99Shares
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$1.5KPnL+$210Avg62¢Current72.5¢2,000Shares
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$1.4KPnL+$225Avg52.4¢Current62.5¢2,213.55Shares
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$1.2KPnL+$103Avg5.6¢Current6.2¢19,344.22Shares
Showing 8 of 174 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet madmartigan5: 24.2% win rate over 91 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −23.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −252.9%, n=37 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−20.4% over 35 fills); +$14.2K lifetime P&L, $1.6M traded, updated 2026-09-24.