PolyTrace
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Trader profile

rspa

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate36.3%190 settled · past 180 days15 open · 73% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$2.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded352Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−18.8% / $95% interval −54.7% to +17.2%134 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−18.8%n=134 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 31 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 36.3% · Decided 190 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$2.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$4.8K
Concentration
65.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
79
Showing the largest 8 of 79
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$1.9KPnL+$175Avg45¢Current49.5¢3,879.67Shares
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$431PnL+$67Avg52¢Current61.5¢700Shares
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?
YesValue$206PnL−$54Avg25.9¢Current20.5¢1,004.29Shares
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?
NoValue$101PnL+$30Avg25.8¢Current36.5¢276.93Shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?
YesValue$81PnL−$40Avg12¢Current8¢1,008Shares
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?
YesValue$51PnL−$14Avg72.1¢Current56.5¢89.85Shares
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?
YesValue$51PnL−$27Avg33¢Current21.5¢235.86Shares
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
YesValue$38PnL−$11Avg3.3¢Current2.6¢1,501.71Shares
Showing 8 of 79 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet rspa: 36.3% win rate over 190 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −18.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −54.7%, n=134 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−18.8% over 134 fills); +$7K lifetime P&L, $2.7M traded, updated 2026-09-22.