PolyTrace
Back to wallets

Trader profile

polyproguy

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$28.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate85.3%197 settled · past 180 days30 open · 27% underwater · 18 hours ago
Lifetime volume$12.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded458Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−40.7% / $95% interval −810.1% to +728.7%41 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
−40.7%n=41 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 85.3% · Decided 197 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded18 hours ago
Current position value
$37K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$99.4K
Concentration
34.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
120
Showing the largest 8 of 120
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$12.7KPnL+$211Avg95.3¢Current96.9¢13,059.57Shares
NoValue$7.9KPnL+$82Avg97¢Current98¢8,040.79Shares
YesValue$2.4KPnL+$42Avg96.3¢Current98.1¢2,415.32Shares
NoValue$2.1KPnL−$67Avg93.8¢Current91¢2,327.64Shares
NoValue$1.2KPnL−$56Avg95.3¢Current91¢1,300Shares
NoValue$995PnL+$2Avg99.3¢Current99.5¢1,000Shares
NoValue$987PnL+$15Avg95.3¢Current96.8¢1,020.1Shares
NoValue$972PnL+$0.99Avg98.6¢Current98.7¢985Shares
Showing 8 of 120 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet polyproguy: 85.3% win rate over 197 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −40.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −810.1%, n=41 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−40.7% over 41 fills); +$28.9K lifetime P&L, $12.4M traded, updated 2026-09-23.