PolyTrace
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Trader profile

serferer

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$2.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet40 open · 12% underwater · 4 days ago
Lifetime volume$209.8K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded212Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$20.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.2K
Concentration
17.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
52
Showing the largest 8 of 52
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$3.5KPnL+$416Avg61.2¢Current69.5¢4,992.68Shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$2.8KPnL+$272Avg77.1¢Current85.5¢3,245.51Shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.5KPnL+$233Avg80.7¢Current95.5¢1,574.94Shares
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
YesValue$1.4KPnL+$65Avg88.5¢Current93¢1,462.26Shares
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
NoValue$1.3KPnL+$264Avg71.4¢Current89.5¢1,459.57Shares
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?
NoValue$1KPnL+$347Avg50.3¢Current75.5¢1,375.57Shares
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
NoValue$1KPnL+$68Avg87.8¢Current94¢1,097.57Shares
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
NoValue$911PnL+$60Avg87.4¢Current93.5¢974.77Shares
Showing 8 of 52 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet serferer: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$2.2K lifetime P&L, $209.8K traded, updated 2026-09-20.