PolyTrace
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Trader profile

kevtp

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$66.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate94.1%51 settled · past 90 days15 open · 3% underwater · 12 hours ago
Lifetime volume$5.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded345Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−14.1% / $95% interval −259.4% to +231.2%78 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−14.1%n=78 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 3 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 94.1% · Decided 51 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded12 hours ago
Current position value
$192.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$4.3K
Concentration
26%
Largest share of value
Positions
16
Showing the largest 8 of 16
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?
NoValue$50KPnL+$448Avg98.8¢Current99.7¢50,125.48Shares
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
NoValue$39.3KPnL+$537Avg97¢Current98.4¢39,999.99Shares
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
NoValue$33.8KPnL+$1.8KAvg91.4¢Current96.7¢34,999.98Shares
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$32.9KPnL+$250Avg93.3¢Current94¢34,995.44Shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
NoValue$9.7KPnL+$65Avg96.7¢Current97.4¢10,000Shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$7.5KPnL+$692Avg87.1¢Current96¢7,808.72Shares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$4.8KPnL+$159Avg93.2¢Current96.4¢5,000.03Shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
NoValue$4.7KPnL+$110Avg92.3¢Current94.5¢4,999.98Shares
Showing 8 of 16 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet kevtp: 94.1% win rate over 51 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −14.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −259.4%, n=78 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−14.1% over 78 fills); +$66.9K lifetime P&L, $5.5M traded, updated 2026-09-23.