PolyTrace
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Trader profile

bmm2

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$26KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate82.1%78 settled · past 180 days4 open · <1% underwater · 18 hours ago
Lifetime volume$520.9K387 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded97Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−12.5% / $95% interval −486.0% to +461.0%23 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−6.1%n=13 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 82.1% · Decided 78 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded18 hours ago
Current position value
$13.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$35.1K
Concentration
98.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
18
Showing the largest 8 of 18
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$13.1KPnL+$3.4KAvg43.8¢Current59¢22,158.11Shares
YesValue$103PnL+$14Avg84¢Current96.9¢105.95Shares
NoValue$25PnL+$13Avg47¢Current97.9¢25.53Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$7.5KAvg92.2¢Current8,157.26Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$2.7KAvg93.6¢Current2,917.22Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$204Avg82.3¢Current247.93Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$1.1KAvg91.4¢Current1,237.12Shares
Showing 8 of 18 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet bmm2: 82.1% win rate over 78 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −12.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −486.0%, n=23 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−6.1% over 13 fills); −$26K lifetime P&L, $520.9K traded, updated 2026-09-23.